Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Pseudoscientists Dismiss Accurate Prediction

Reuters: Scientists dismiss prediction of Italy earthquake.

Gioacchino Giuliani is at the center of a debate about the limits of seismology after Italian officials shrugged off his warnings last month that a devastating earthquake in the central Abruzzo region was imminent.

In fact Giuliani, who works at the National Institute of Physics, was even reported to police for spreading panic.

While many Italians are now more than ready to listen to whatever Giuliani has to say, geophysicists in Europe and the United States remain skeptical of his claims to have discovered an effective early-warning system. ...

"We can know when an earthquake is coming," Giuliani said in one of the flurry of interviews he has given to Italian media over the past 24 hours.

"To those who have not believed me, I'll just say that a scientist's dictionary should not contain the word 'impossible'. History has proven that to us."
Shou, Z., Earthquake Clouds: A Reliable Precursor, Science and Utopya, Volume 64, Pages 53-57, Oct 1999


Jeffery Keown said...

"they probably would have evacuated the residents of Sulmona to L'Aquila just in time for the earthquake."

...And then more folks would have died. Earthquake prediction is not an exact science, just as the article suggests.

This is my favorite part:

"This physicist from Italy has every right to pursue something, as do the cockroach people. But we all have to subject our work to the same standards of review," Stern said.

OilIsMastery said...


The article is absolutely inaccurate in it's reporting.

Who is Stern? Do you even know?

Geologist said...

Surely Gioacchino Giampaolo Giuliani works with right model to predict earthquake. Emission of radon gas is a suitable tool to do it. Also monitoring mud volcanoes, earthquake methane clouds, helium, methane upwelling. understanding that hydrocarbons and natural gas are primordial materials that come from great depths within the earth is fundamental, as said by Dr. Thomas Gold. This understanding and correct monitoring probably will save lives.